Advent Calendar / Exclusive Charges

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nr1stunner
Posts: 38
Joined: Fri Oct 03, 2014 11:29 am

Re: Advent Calendar / Exclusive Charges

Post by nr1stunner » Mon Dec 07, 2015 8:14 am

Not sure where to post a reply, does it matter if the gift stashes are in you're honor range?

Lord Friendly
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Joined: Thu Nov 04, 2010 10:18 am

Re: Advent Calendar / Exclusive Charges

Post by Lord Friendly » Mon Dec 07, 2015 3:42 pm

Wheel Spin prizes are Independent of the honour circle.

Esoteric Paradigm
Posts: 579
Joined: Sat Feb 15, 2014 5:16 am

Re: Advent Calendar / Exclusive Charges

Post by Esoteric Paradigm » Mon Dec 07, 2015 9:05 pm

I think what Lord Friendly is trying to say is that the chance of getting a wheel spin from scouting an undiscovered stash is the same regardless of whether the stash is within the honour circle or not.

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Priest Guardian
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Location: Canada

Re: Advent Calendar / Exclusive Charges

Post by Priest Guardian » Mon Dec 07, 2015 9:45 pm

also will add to the chance of getting a wheel spin seems to average 1 wheel spin per 15-25 stashes uncovered. At least that's my experience when carding scouts
After you try all the other MMO's , you keep coming back to SHK's

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Lord Jon Cornu
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Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2011 12:31 am
Location: Mundo 1, Global Conflict.

Re: Advent Calendar / Exclusive Charges

Post by Lord Jon Cornu » Tue Dec 08, 2015 3:00 am

I think there are some diminishing returns. When I come in, there's like almost always some spins (even more than 1) in the very first 5 stashes I go to. After that, the rate seems to go down and down, to the point that if I take even more than 10 stashes at the same time after a bit, I hardly find 1 spin. And when I leave the game and come back later, I get to find spins very often for a little while again.

Maybe it's just my personal bias, who knows. But it seems odd to be acting like this :P So maybe going hard for greedy-scouting and trying to get all presents (leaving little for other players) isn't very nice and Firefly did something to counter it? hahaha it'd be pretty fun if it's really like this.

PS: This would also explain why some people think that the honor circle gives more chance to get a prize.... since it's obvious that when you come online, first thing you'll scout is nearby stashes, then you'll eventually try for farther ones...?

Esoteric Paradigm
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Joined: Sat Feb 15, 2014 5:16 am

Re: Advent Calendar / Exclusive Charges

Post by Esoteric Paradigm » Tue Dec 08, 2015 5:13 am

Not sure about Xmas stashes in other worlds as most of my exp with scouting stashes for wheel spins comes from Wolfie World. I am not sure that the % chance of getting a wheel spin changes with time independent of other factors such as number of stashes scouted. That is way harder to prove without an awful lot of work. Since I send out 40 scouts at lightning speed on Wolfie World it would be next to impossible to monitor the success rates of all scouts. What I do do tho is record the results of every single spin in a spreadsheet which has some nice calculations going on in it all the time. Each 3 hour session is kept in a separate worksheet for future calculations. I see some very wierd trends in most of the sessions and some incredibly unbelievable combinations of spins. I started recording them because I began to suspect that the spins were not exactly coming from a standard random algorithm.

Caliph007
Posts: 7
Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 8:26 am

Re: Advent Calendar / Exclusive Charges

Post by Caliph007 » Wed Dec 09, 2015 6:45 am

Hi. Is anyone else having a problem with the Calendar boxes not reacting to a click from the mouse?
Everything opens and loads normally, the Advent Calendar and unopened boxes show but with no response.
When you hover the mouse over the box there is a change in the shading of the box so it would appear everything is good up until that point.
But clicking produces nothing. This is a new day so it should not be picking up yesterdays activation. ???

nr1stunner
Posts: 38
Joined: Fri Oct 03, 2014 11:29 am

Re: Advent Calendar / Exclusive Charges

Post by nr1stunner » Wed Dec 09, 2015 2:08 pm

Esoteric Paradigm wrote:Not sure about Xmas stashes in other worlds as most of my exp with scouting stashes for wheel spins comes from Wolfie World. I am not sure that the % chance of getting a wheel spin changes with time independent of other factors such as number of stashes scouted. That is way harder to prove without an awful lot of work. Since I send out 40 scouts at lightning speed on Wolfie World it would be next to impossible to monitor the success rates of all scouts. What I do do tho is record the results of every single spin in a spreadsheet which has some nice calculations going on in it all the time. Each 3 hour session is kept in a separate worksheet for future calculations. I see some very wierd trends in most of the sessions and some incredibly unbelievable combinations of spins. I started recording them because I began to suspect that the spins were not exactly coming from a standard random algorithm.
Is it making sense 2 u?

Esoteric Paradigm
Posts: 579
Joined: Sat Feb 15, 2014 5:16 am

Re: Advent Calendar / Exclusive Charges

Post by Esoteric Paradigm » Wed Dec 09, 2015 8:29 pm

nr1stunner wrote:
Esoteric Paradigm wrote:Not sure about Xmas stashes in other worlds as most of my exp with scouting stashes for wheel spins comes from Wolfie World. I am not sure that the % chance of getting a wheel spin changes with time independent of other factors such as number of stashes scouted. That is way harder to prove without an awful lot of work. Since I send out 40 scouts at lightning speed on Wolfie World it would be next to impossible to monitor the success rates of all scouts. What I do do tho is record the results of every single spin in a spreadsheet which has some nice calculations going on in it all the time. Each 3 hour session is kept in a separate worksheet for future calculations. I see some very wierd trends in most of the sessions and some incredibly unbelievable combinations of spins. I started recording them because I began to suspect that the spins were not exactly coming from a standard random algorithm.
Is it making sense 2 u?
Not sure what you mean by "making sense" but if you are referring to my questioning whether or not FF use a standard non- weighted random algorithm then my comment would be that only FF know this and probably will not comment.

nr1stunner
Posts: 38
Joined: Fri Oct 03, 2014 11:29 am

Re: Advent Calendar / Exclusive Charges

Post by nr1stunner » Wed Dec 09, 2015 10:24 pm

yeah

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